Sports entertainment betting are often very successful if anyone Recognize The strategies the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that clever money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to Playing.

Here’s a perfect example of this. I analyzed this Western side Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the edge in the game. However , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there were a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this kind of game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This video game provides all the indicators of being one involving the most effective games regarding the year, having each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming backside from being down massive in the next quarter to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game seem like this year?

In case this game were getting played at a good fairly neutral field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, often the added added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not look like much, but in a close match-up this way, that spare point can make the distinction between some sort of push and even a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 , 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points every game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. 8 points each game with home. In case an individual didn’t do the mathematics, that means given that their very own last home damage they also have averaged beating their particular adversaries by means of about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by simply 13 factors per sport at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats had been established during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They’ve acquired recent games through which they already have only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still the close activity to call up. Nevertheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this kind of game and certainly not wager at all. There usually are better video games this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big that they can may possibly still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific sport, people critical concerning wagering saved money these people can offer better use on upcoming games.



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